Every three months, we invite you to discover the major weather trends ahead. Temperatures, rainfall... there are sometimes major differences from one month to the next.
In just three months, it's already the end of the year! And December looks set to be the driest month compared with October and November, if we are to believe the latest projections from the European COPERNICUS model. According to the model, precipitation is likely to be slightly above seasonal normals over the next 8 weeks. Opposed to December, with an average rainfall deficit compared with seasonal normals that could sometimes reach 30%.
While there is no clear majority scenario for October across the UK as a whole (in other words, temperatures could remain close to seasonal normals), the opposite is envisaged for November and December. The temperature anomaly could be between 0.5 and 1°C above seasonal values. It is Scotland that could see its thermometer rise more than usual at this time of year. More specifically, an anomaly of +1°C is envisaged in the western part of this territory.
As we systematically remind you, this information comes from statistical models analysing the probability of a particular type of weather for the following two parameters: rain and temperature. It is in no way intended to be as precise or detailed as the forecasts we see daily on the Sencrop application or in the media. Seasonal forecasts are simply probabilities of finding, over a wide geographical area and time scale, a type of weather in relation to seasonal values. In the coming months, for example, it will be quite possible to see periods of cold weather, or even periods of less rainfall in areas where higher-than-normal humidity is forecast.
For accurate and reliable forecasts, refer to the Sencrop forecasts for the next 6 days! And if you're not yet using Sencrop, you can try it out for free by clicking on the button below.
Create your profile, connect to a station close to your plots and benefit from a free trial, without obligation.
Used to abnormally mild (and sometimes hot) temperatures, the United Kingdom had its coolest summer in 9 years. Find out more about the summer weather. Summer 2024 is the coolest in 9 years! According to official climate data, temperatures were cooler than normal, on average, over the three summers combined:
After an exceptionally mild May, especially in the northern British Isles, the initial climate forecast indicates that spring 2024 (March-April-May) will be a historic season. With heavy rain and mild temperatures, discover our full report. The hottest spring recorded The Sencrop stations recorded temperatures above seasonal norms in recent weeks.
Every year, storms wreak havoc, sometimes covering several thousand hectares, especially from hail. Explore the mysteries behind these powerful weather events. Each year, thousands of lightning flashes occur, often in conjunction with severe storms that damage crops, especially through hailstorms and mudslides caused by heavy rainfall. Lightning poses fire risks