Every three months, we invite you to discover the major weather trends ahead. Temperatures, rainfall... there are sometimes major differences from one month to the next.
In just three months, it's already the end of the year! And December looks set to be the driest month compared with October and November, if we are to believe the latest projections from the European COPERNICUS model. According to the model, precipitation is likely to be slightly above seasonal normals over the next 8 weeks. Opposed to December, with an average rainfall deficit compared with seasonal normals that could sometimes reach 30%.
While there is no clear majority scenario for October across the UK as a whole (in other words, temperatures could remain close to seasonal normals), the opposite is envisaged for November and December. The temperature anomaly could be between 0.5 and 1°C above seasonal values. It is Scotland that could see its thermometer rise more than usual at this time of year. More specifically, an anomaly of +1°C is envisaged in the western part of this territory.
As we systematically remind you, this information comes from statistical models analysing the probability of a particular type of weather for the following two parameters: rain and temperature. It is in no way intended to be as precise or detailed as the forecasts we see daily on the Sencrop application or in the media. Seasonal forecasts are simply probabilities of finding, over a wide geographical area and time scale, a type of weather in relation to seasonal values. In the coming months, for example, it will be quite possible to see periods of cold weather, or even periods of less rainfall in areas where higher-than-normal humidity is forecast.
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